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How Long Do We Wait For Acceptable Performance In Schools? Introduction There exists an inconsistency in the idea that public education is a service where the money spent annually can only go higher, and management people are not fired when the school and district results like the consolidated average ACT score is so poor that it guarantees joblessness for the majority of its students. For low performance having to be financed as high or higher than ever before without any recourse creates exactly what we have. Our public education produces only 11-16% (Explanation below) of 9th graders "ready to learn a job" (Explanation below) in Tennessee or Knox County, Tennessee respectively after leaving high school.
This means that 84-89% of students in 9th grade will leave high school for minimum wage jobs at best, with increasing unemployment through life, unless the parents pay $25,000-35,000 for additional schooling to make up for what the high school has not done. For this poor high school performance, we MUST keep paying more than $10,000 per child, and almost half a billion dollars per year for the poor results in Knox County, Tennessee alone. The state of Tennessee is even worse. Since we pay for all students, low and high performers alike, the poor average performance raises the cost of each single student who will be ready to learn a job to an astronomical $852,000 over twelve years in Knox County, Tennessee. The state is even higher (Explanation below). The Tennessee cost for one such student is even higher. The best private school whose graduates have a 27 ACT average and 100% are ready for learning a job or going to college, cost $180,000 for 12 years. Some are less than half that below the public school cost with a 24.5 or higher ACT average with a better than 90% readiness to learn a job. If the same per student tax dollars were transferable to a private school as a result of parental choice, the private school would be a better contributor to both the child's, the state's and our country's future success. All children would not be accepted by private schools, but a number of them could be finishing in a private high school ready for a more successful career benefiting themselves, their families and the state. Tax dollars need to finance the most productive and not the least productive path. Defensive arguments will be galore, but the public education cost is simply unaffordable. The economy has been hitting the skids. The recovery is being weakened by this poor school performance for too many years producing a poorly trained work force. We have heard for a long time from employers that today's high school graduates cannot communicate properly in English and cannot even do basic math. We have heard now for a decade about our work force becoming weaker and weaker, as low end jobs go to software and robotic automation. We all have to tighten our belts and do a good job or we get fired, but the education system with its poor job for decades NOT ONLY KEEPS ITS MANAGEMENT JOBS BUT INCREASES THEM, AND WE MUST PAY THEM? 1995-2010 the number of students increased only 4% but administrators increased 94%, and spending ABOVE THE BUDGET increased 361% in Knox County, with the above poor results (Explanation below). Why spend the money this way if 80%+ of students end up jobless as a career? Obviously no one was watching and major changes are needed in how and where that tax money is going to go. As it is now, this is economic destruction and insanity, I am sorry. Now the education system wants to tax the public for more money? We better sober up real fast. This is a surefire formula for total economic failure. If one, especially an elected individual, does not stand up to change it, he/she must be benefiting from the money - or votes. The poor education we deliver is destroying the future of the upcoming generation and the country. The facts are presented here www.usaedustat.com/index2.html and within this Web site. Legislators and Governor Haslam, please change this dangerous situation with a great sense or urgency. A Few Fundamental Questions The ACT and SAT scores show what students have learned from grade one to twelve. They are impartial national testing services. The ACT is the one used in Tennessee and other states the most. We use the ACT in our examples. The maximum ACT score is 36. A "consolidated average" 22 ACT score in a school or school district means that 80-82% of those students who entered 9th grade, left high school not being ready to learn a job when leaving high school according to ACT. At the same time, the money we are spending per student is significantly more than the top 20 education systems in the world whose performance is much higher, in the ACT 26-31 equivalent range depending on the country (OECD-PISA/ACT conversion). ![]() We still do not seem to accept the fact that we are and have been competing internationally in education most of all, and we have been losing that battle very badly for years. Look at the poor results for more than a decade by most high schools below in Knox County, Tennessee as an example. The Tennessee average is worse. Our secondary school performance is very destructive by any measure and that must change. Facts and ideas below. ![]() The 3-year job/college readiness chart below is prepared from data as follows.
Drop out rates from grade 9 multiplied by the % of the remaining students getting a regular diploma. Google the TN (or other state) Report Card and then specify the state itself or the school district or school by name to get the four-year drop out percentage, then multiply what is left by the regular diploma rate. Those are the students who get a regular diploma (74%). In the ACT report multiply the previous % of those with a regular diploma (74%) by the % of students with the regular diplomas ready to learn a job or go to a college successfully (19%). Therefore in Knox County, Tennessee, only 14% of those students who enter into 9th grade leave high school READY TO LEARN A JOB. ACT explains in its report that being ready to learn a job or being ready for college have become the same. As you see in the chart, Tennessee is even worse. ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() CONSIDER FIRST WHO YOU BELIEVE. Would a person who represents the school system give you a true answer to a question that would make the school system look bad if answered truthfully? Perhaps. Always consider the source and his/her motivation, even if that person has been nominated for sainthood, has 5 PhDs and looks more impressive on paper than Albert Einstein. Follow the money. Follow who pays them and where that money comes from and how. "Confidence peddlers" are aplenty in this world unfortunately.
Vic Spencer(1) define what employees constitute central management (those who do not take 100% direction and performance evaluation by the office of the principal in a school, but are listed as school system/district employees), and (2) set normal limits in both head count and budgeted dollars for central management in every district (1% of total district employees), in accordance with the reference provided below by Drs. Lunenburg and Ornstein.
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How competitive are we? The USA dropped to 32nd of 65 nations in 2009 (http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/34/60/46619703.pdf, page 8), and to 52nd of 138 nations per the World Economic Council report (http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GITR_Report_2011.pdf, page 344) in 2011 in high school science and math. Do you think that such drops do not matter, your child will be successful whatever we do and such dropping performance will have no impact on our country's economy? Tennessee is close to the USA bottom in ACT (50th www.act.org/newsroom/data/2011/states.html ) and NAEP national tests, and spends more dollars/student/year than the top 20 performers in the world. Knox County, TN is the same. Should we just keep paying our school districts more millions of tax payer dollars each year? The USA became the second largest spender per student per year in the world in 2011 (http://mercatus.org/publication/k-12-spending-student-oecd ) producing the above results. Do you think that matters at all? Since 2006, ACT Warned: Ready for College and Ready for Work - Same or Different? The ACT Readiness Brief says that: "Results of a new ACT study provide empirical evidence that, whether planning to enter college or workforce training programs after graduation, high school students need to be educated to a comparable level of readiness in reading and mathematics. Graduates need this level of readiness if they are to succeed in college-level courses without remediation and to enter workforce training programs ready to learn job-specific skills." This simply means that the figures that ACT presents as college readiness percentage of those who have a regular high school diploma also is an indication of what percentage of students are ready to learn a job or to be trained for a job. Job requirements have increased over the years because of the impact of software and robotic technology, that has been and will continue replacing low end jobs. At the same time, we also graduated students from our high schools with less and less knowledge, especially in basic math. We all have seen that with young people behind cash registers not being able to make change, and employers have been complaining about high school graduates not meeting their needs in English communications and basic math for almost a decade. To put it into perspective, Tennessee schools are one of the worst in the USA on the average, and the USA slipped to 52nd place in math and science tests of 15 year olds internationally. That has reduced work force readiness for employers and it also reduced the scientists and engineers we need who graduated with advanced degrees, who are necessary for our industries to develop competitive products. As a result, we have lost entire industries to foreign competition and we are losing market share to foreign suppliers in 111 of 114 key industries. http://www.act.org/research/policymakers/pdf/ReadinessBrief.pdf 2011 ACT Comparison
International A-C represents the range of the top 20 international competitors ![]() THE REAL COST OF POOR EDUCATION TO THE TAX PAYING PUBLIC. The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing!! (Edmund Burke, statesman, 1776) Assume that those entering the Knox County, Tennessee 9th grade are represented as 100 students. 2010 TN Report Card: 14% drop out (x0.86), 85% of the remaining graduate with a regular diploma (x0.85), and only 19% of the remaining are ready to learn a job (2011 Knox County ACT Report) that you saw above, 100%x0.86x0.85x0.19 = 0.14 or 14%. ONLY 14% of freshman entering our county high schools come out ready to learn a job. Tennessee the state is worse at only 11%. That means that 86-89% are NOT ready to learn a job according to the ACT report above. Is a regular diploma from Knox County Schools worth much when 81% of those with a regular diploma are NOT ready to learn a job? What IS the point in having such a diploma?? Should our political leaders make changes to ensure that all kids with a regular high school diploma are ready to learn a job under the ACT standards? ANOTHER BIG QUESTION IS: how much does it cost us in tax dollars to develop ONE student out of high school who is ready to learn a job according to ACT? Well, get ready for a huge shock. The Cost Of One Job/College-Ready Student To The Tax Payers In Knox County, TN: $10,000+*/year x 12years x 7.1** = $852,000! ONE CHILD! Add to this the life-time indirect cost of unemployment and social support services for the 86% who left high school without being ready to learn a job. And 81% of those HAVE a regular diploma! A few, perhaps 10% of the 86% MAY get the two-year remedial training needed at parental expense, that the high school should have provided. Our political leaders and Governor must change this. * The Knox County, TN school district shows only $8500/year per student expense. When one adds capital and interest and legal expenses for the school system, the figure goes above $10K/student. ** We are paying for all students, including those who are not ready to learn a job. Therefore, the 14% job-ready students in Knox County, Tennessee are only one 7.1th of the total students (100% divided by 14% = 7.1). The state of Tennessee situation is worse. Farragut, TN http://www.usaedustat.com vicspencer@gmail.com Copyright(c) 2008-2012 V. Spencer This is a work in progress. ![]() |